Some folks are talking openly about a 1 million vote advantage for Capriles. Maybe. So, for the fun of it I tried to think about a scenario that could work out. NOTE: this is NOT a prediction, just a mind game.
I operated exactly in the reverse of my normal prediction method. This time around, after finally updating my total voters per state, I figured out an abstention and what should Capriles get in each state until finally he gets 1 million more votes than Chavez. After enough twikering I reached the table above.