Saturday, March 01, 2014

More than two weeks and no end in sight

It has been now a little bit over two weeks since the first victims were counted. Since then there has been rallies and marches every day all across Venezuela. The death number keeps rising, the documented torture reports are now in the dozenS, with an S. Arrests are in the hundreds. A "peace conference" came and went within 24 hours. Major marches are called for this weekend, people are not leaving for the Carnival holiday made already 2 days longer by the regime with no effect. They are idiots, people have no much money to go on holiday this year after having endured a 60% inflation....

Since I have been trying to make my way to Caracas for the last couple of days I may not be able to write much for another couple of days so I thought that tonight I could sort of try to see where we are at.

Let's start putting us up to date.  Today we had two telling events.

Apparently finally a Nazional Guard got shot. But apparently it was due to friendly fire. Which does not stop the Valencia Nazional Guard to search the shooting area for all possible protesters to try to pin the guilt elsewhere. How so fascistically repressive.... But there is no official confirmation yet so we shall wait. Whatever it was, it is a sign of increasing violence and disarray by the Nazional guard which is starting to get nervous that after two weeks they still cannot push back people into their homes, even when they attack directly journalists to silence them.  I am putting at the end a video from a female journalists that was taken under custody and terrorized.

The other event was an outcome of the peace conference that resulted in Lorenzo Mendoza, head of Polar, reciting to the government in public a dodecalogue of what needs to be done with the economy.  If Mr. Mendoza list could be seen, in a way, as a genuine attempt at regime education, it was also a political indictment of 15 years of mismanagement. What Mendoza said without saying is "listen, you may repress in a blood bath the country, but you are not going to escape the economic curse that you called on yourself!"  Something very pleasant for this blogger who has been repeating that the worse of the crisis lies ahead, when food stops. That the regime allowed this to be vented, is, well, telling of at least some disarray.

These two moments speak a lot because they reflect that after more than two weeks of massive protests, following less massive but equally important local protests, the regime still does not know what to do. Not that I think it can do much but now even repression is counterproductive, the world, now that Ukraine is over, is slowly but surely measuring the disaster brewing and the repressive dictatorship that chavismo has evolved into.  We got for example a Canadian parliament resolution and an European Parliament resolution voted nearly 1 to 10!  Think about that! From socialists to right wing, all democrats went against the methods of Maduro.  The US Senate is also brewing something.

The thing is that repressing even the press is the worse way for Venezuela to make its case. Sending Jaua the foreign minister to a grand tour of South America with his speech stating that the lone advice that the regime is willing to consider is UNASUR is an admission that the regime is alone in the world, and that, as a matter of fact it cannot rely 100% on its allies (I understand that Jaua did not get a public appearance with his Brazilian colleague whereas the one from Argentina said that the Venezuelan people had the "right to be rued by Maduro". Oh dear...).

Sure enough, Venezuela's democrats feel justifiably abandoned by Latin America but there are circumstances that make some people wait to speak up, too long for this post.  From Chile Andres Velasco is only one of the many voices that complain about the moral failure of the Latin American left in condemning that repression, willing to forget past abuses because now abuses are made by the left...  a witness on how morally degrading is the unfounded admiration for Fidel Castro even among people that should know better about the reality of that criminal.

At this point we can at least take comfort in some victories for the democrat side. The image war has been lost by the regime. Its credibility is nonexistent. And its survival is more based these days overseas on the wishes of countries to get paid what Venezuela owes them than any real sympathy.

But there is yet another victory that is starting to show. CNNE went into Petare barrios and not only was well received but was able to prove that barrios do not support massively the regime anymore. In other words, chavista supporters in the barrios are far from being ready to go down and defend the regime as we have suspected since the beginning of that crisis. Well, at least this blogger that has had a very different vision than some other blogs and newspapers around. For me, everyday that passes confirms that the revolt is an act of despair by people who are aware their future is stolen. There is no other way to understand why there has been so much fuel to it.  This is not about a given petty grievance, this is about liberty. And that the chavista hoi polloi senses and is unwilling to go against.

As such the regime is left to the infernal spiral of repression with security forces instead of popular counter-marches to dwarf those of the opposition. This is a novel situation for the regime that it clearly does not know how to handle.


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33 comments:

  1. I am so happy to see everyone shouting out and saying " No more !" It's not only good for the country, it's good for the soul.

    The barrios have been largely( not entirely) anti-regime for a few years now, but it ain't easy to speak out when Tupamaros are your neighbors. Now when the towns shout out and when numbers start growing around the country, it emboldens them.My guess is that some of the thugs are getting scared too.

    It's too bad that more people in Venezuela who have some ability to get information out did not have enough understanding of the barrios over the years, it would have helped, but in one sense it's all water under the bridge except for when it's time to re-do the country...

    Godspeed, good luck, Tashi Delegs and all that good stuff.

    ReplyDelete
  2. “Here I come to save the day!” Jimmy Carter offers to ... Venezuela - “Pls, desist..,” reads open letter from Vzln Daniel Duquenal http://townhall.com/columnists/humbertofontova/2014/03/01/here-i-come-to-save-the-day-jimmy-carter-offers-to-visit-venezuela-n1802350 …

    ReplyDelete
  3. Carter is typical of the easy deception of Christians that Lenin spoke of. As he said, rule #1 is you always tell Christians you are trying to help the poor. They are obsessed with charity and are easily fooled. They helped him overthrow the Tsar (defender of the Christian faith by tradition) and were repaid with burned churches and murdered priests. Where do these slobbering Castro lovers keep coming from as the body count rises?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous4:38 PM

      I like Castro, and I'll always stand by him.

      If Chavez had followed the example of Castro fifteen years ago, the fascist cockroaches like yourselves would have been eliminated a long time ago, and Venezuela would be spared the chaos that you people are causing right now.

      Delete
    2. Written, of course, by a true "anonymous" coward fascist. Redundancy intended. Thank you for confirming how just is our fight.

      Delete
  4. Anonymous10:29 AM

    Blah blah blah blah

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Such a profound statement...

      firepigette

      Delete
  5. Anonymous10:56 AM

    And in the background, another stealth devauluation occurs with sicad2. Not a word in the media about this. When someone finally gets wise to this, the government will blame the protesters no doubt.

    ReplyDelete
  6. I keep hearing that various Chavismo leaders are moving their children outside of Venezuela. Is this is so?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous1:29 PM

      Probably true, however for a number of years now the Chavista elite have educated their kids outside Venezuela. Most of them are as thick as two planks.

      Delete
    2. they have USD $$$ mucho, mucho. They can go on vacation so as not to get annoyed by protests.

      Delete
  7. Wonderful Post.

    I think that you correctly hit on the dynamics causing this unrest in Venezuela. And definitely, there is movement in some South American countries, that bolsters your assessment of Chavismo.

    "The image war has been lost by the regime." Maybe Chavismo has run its course. Besides potential oil riches, what else does Chavismo have?

    ReplyDelete
  8. Anonymous12:26 PM

    Problem: This is still a middle class/upper-middle class protest:

    http://www.nytimes.com/2014/03/01/world/americas/slum-dwellers-in-caracas-ask-what-protests.html?hp

    La mayoria de la gente en los barrios estan aprovechando los dias extra de vacaciones tranquilos. El objetivo de lograr el apoyo de los barrios no se ha cumplido. La oposicion ha avanzado muy poco en una decada. Esto es lo que mas me frustra. Al contrario, yo creo que estas protestas lo que han logrado es alienar mas a la gente de los barrios y hacer odiar mas a la oposicion. Capriles lo dijo: Ha que tener apoyo de los barrios.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You sound like the official version( pro-government) of what is happening in the barrios.

      firepigette

      Delete
    2. Capriles was right in calling the people of the barrios ...because they need to participate more, however it is not because of disagreements, but rather out of fear that they hesitate...wouldn't you , if you had thugs threatening to shoot at you , and these thugs were your next door neighbors

      tu eres colmo del cinismo

      firepigette

      Delete
    3. Anonymous1:27 PM

      Some might be fearful, but a lot simply are not ready to take to the streets either because of lingering support for the government or hate toward the opposition. This is not something reported by VTV only.

      Delete
    4. I know, the bought off -cowardly -Stupid- International press all reports the official stuff...but those of us who have the actual experience and intimate contact know for a fact how untrue this BS is.

      But let me say this? What possible reason would a real opposition have to report such an untruth without having the intimate contact to back themselves up?Did you see the CNN report? Of course I must admit that I have no admiration for those who start reporting only after it has become fashionable and safer to do so.I might forgive my friends in the barrios who are personally threatened but until I have intimate contact with something I doubt seriously If I would ever write 'bobadas' like these that only serve to damage the opposition, the truth and in extension the future of world reporting.Experts who don't know quote experts who don't know who quote experts who don't know.I hope they are having with their false expertise.

      firepigette

      firepigette

      Delete
    5. You are an idiot anonymous 12:26 PM... If all the people everywhere are ONLY upper middle class then chavismo deserves a Nobel of economics because no other country in the world has such an amount of "upper class". IDIOT!

      Delete
    6. Anonymous3:56 PM

      I am not inusulting anybody. And I said "middle class/upper middle class" not just upper middle class. The point is, people in barrios, for one reason or another, are not protesting massively. You can have different opinions as to why this might be and the reasons are probably multiple, but it is a hard to deny fact.

      Delete
  9. Daniel, You need to give credit to Marco Rubio the Florida Senator, He has not been mixing words. Meanwhile Obama is golfing and talking about same sex marriage.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. HAHA!

      Remember Marco Rubio is a Republican so he can't be right.Until we overcome the authoritarianism and narrowness of politics, we will never overcome ignorance.FB

      Delete
    2. Really Charlotte, how does golfing or talking about same sex marriage mean that the President isn't doing his job diligently?

      I guess what you're implying here is that all Presidents should not relax when there is a crisis. Which then translates to: they can never play golf, nor go to a movie or a concert, for four years.

      And to disparage the President, because he is addressing an important issue facing the American people, doesn’t make any sense.

      Delete
    3. Mark Rubio is a Republican and a moron! And a lemming to boot! Oh, off the cliff he went! What a shame!

      Delete
  10. Anonymous4:57 PM

    And Rep. Mario Diaz Balart , is he one of Fidel's family - ex wife's side of the family that is ?

    ReplyDelete
  11. Anonymous5:01 PM

    Afterthought - Must be the son as his father, bro in law to Fidel, was also a Republican and fellow Law Student I think.
    Dysfunctional family springs to mind. The Castro Diaz Balart's must have had one big family fall out.
    (Same anon above)

    ReplyDelete
  12. Anonymous7:13 PM

    It is good that Rubio is drawing attention to the Cuban connection. This is something most of the US is probably not aware of, but need to be.

    The Castro-Cubans need to get out of Venezuelan Government for the pueblo to have a chance to work on the future. While were at it the other free riders of Venezuelan natural resources can be asked to pay market price or leave. Maduro and the Gang should not be imprisoned. Instead they should be made to work off the debt they saddled the country. Their "minds" failed Venezuela, perhaps their backs will be more productive.

    ReplyDelete
  13. Just finished talking to a family member who lives in Roberto Lugo in Catia...The Tupmaros who live in their " bloque" not only threaten those who are opposition, but they also protect people from drug addicts who bother others on street.They do this by killing the drug addicts.

    Just another tidbit

    Firepigette

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous7:47 PM

      You mean RUPERTO LUGO, right?

      Anon 242

      Delete
  14. Rubio is a snake, only interested in his own career. Don't trust a word that comes out of his mouth. He may appear to support you today, but as soon as it's to his advantage, he'll cut you off at the knees. He dances to the tune of the oil companies and the bankers.

    ReplyDelete
  15. Anonymous9:20 PM

    Madruo is a snake, only interested in his own career. Don't trust a word that comes out of his mouth. He may appear to support you today, but as soon as it's to his advantage, he'll cut you off at the knees. He dances to the tune of the oil companies and the bankers.

    Chavistas need to see themselves in a mirror

    ReplyDelete
  16. Auuuvienelobo11:20 PM

    Lobo -- Lobo --, llego el Lobo

    ReplyDelete
  17. Auuuvienelobo11:28 PM

    Pronto Shamat!

    ReplyDelete

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