tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4080946.post4365797119254678956..comments2024-03-26T00:37:34.943+01:00Comments on Venezuela News And Views: Shifting political groundsDanielhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12128609182544333477noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4080946.post-46862254743478098372012-01-18T01:53:51.154+01:002012-01-18T01:53:51.154+01:00I think that there has already been a transition o...I think that there has already been a transition of power within Chavizmo with the appointments of Diosdado and Silva. It went from the civilian side of Chavizmo to the military side. I do not think that this was done completely willingly by Chavez or the Castros. I think they had to do it. The military side of Chavizmo probably made Hugo an offer he could not refuse....either appoint these guys or else! They are the only ones that have the power to keep Chavez in by force and therefore they played that card. Plus they do not like the cubanization that the VP and Maduro were leaning towards.The question now is after Chavez either loses the election or passes on to the other side...How will these guys react? Will they negotiate with opposition to keep their fortunes? I personally think that Diosdado would...he may be a crook....but he is very intelligent and Im sure he has already considered his exit strategy. The narco generals may have a tougher time....they have commited crimes that extend beyond their borders and once DEA has involvement again in Venezuela (or the new government becomes more cooperative on the war on drugs) Im sure they will all be sought out for arrest from the US and other countries. After all they have exported tons and tons of drugs. Those narco generals will probably be the ones to fight to cling on to their freedom. I do not think you can negotiate with them.....unless they turn on their drug and Farc "connections" as a way to lessen their sentences. <br /><br />Just my opinion.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4080946.post-51914496394906831012012-01-18T01:15:18.333+01:002012-01-18T01:15:18.333+01:00Sounds good to me! Hopefully the opposition will b...Sounds good to me! Hopefully the opposition will be "pilas"Sledgehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00669696149094846115noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4080946.post-80082196129822134252012-01-17T21:16:39.542+01:002012-01-17T21:16:39.542+01:00Sledge
This post is not about what chavismo will...Sledge<br /><br />This post is not about what chavismo will do, cheat, whatever. Let's discuss other more lofty things than worry sick about what chavismo may or may not be doing. One thing is certain: if everyone in the opposition does its share, in particular at monitoring polling stations, there is little chavismo will be abel to do. Otherwise let's just give up and surrender to him once and for all.<br /><br />Now, back to a post Chavez discussionDanielhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12128609182544333477noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4080946.post-73124228907086955342012-01-17T20:35:49.519+01:002012-01-17T20:35:49.519+01:00Chavez will cheat regardless of the polls. Remembe...Chavez will cheat regardless of the polls. Remember that a "Revocatorio" requires not only a majority, but to beat the number of votes he got at the election. He cannot allow a close victory anymore than a defeat.<br /><br />So the question is: how much will he need to cheat, how obvious will the cheating be and how will Venezuelans in general and the Armed Forces in particular react to such cheating?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4080946.post-57924693028596258052012-01-17T20:02:14.478+01:002012-01-17T20:02:14.478+01:00"A sure mark that chavismo knows that change ..."A sure mark that chavismo knows that change is on the horizon comes from of the pro Chavez private media which is suddenly rushing to renew their ties witht he opposition."<br /><br />If the polls get too close for comfort when the elections draw near, it's very possible that Chavez will cheat, and rig them. He'll probably do whatever it takes to stay in power.Sledgehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00669696149094846115noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4080946.post-59429197995866471972012-01-17T19:16:34.564+01:002012-01-17T19:16:34.564+01:00Hey Daniel, thanks for the link of Panorama. I wil...Hey Daniel, thanks for the link of Panorama. I will try to follow it and tweet :)Lizhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13409833836497330449noreply@blogger.com