tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4080946.post9176568684514608340..comments2024-03-26T00:37:34.943+01:00Comments on Venezuela News And Views: As Caucaguita goes so will the election go (election YV-4)Danielhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12128609182544333477noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4080946.post-36542431899033449842015-11-18T18:32:33.879+01:002015-11-18T18:32:33.879+01:00As a matter of interest - How much "leaning&q...As a matter of interest - How much "leaning" on a voter by the Government goes on. Especially with Government Employees or people on Government Benefits ????Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4080946.post-52527600426198413072015-11-17T21:04:27.316+01:002015-11-17T21:04:27.316+01:00There may be other explanations for meaning of the...There may be other explanations for meaning of the data on "abstention". Quite possibly, those who were not voting are often simply not that "political" or politically opinionated. If these voters are forced or shamed into voting by the "get out the vote" movement, there is a good chance they will vote for the opposition. And they are the exact voter that will tend to switch allegiance due to poor economic and security conditions. Voters who are not that political will react to bad economic and security issues. <br /><br />At some point in time, the opposition voter becomes more engaged and likely to vote. As economic issues increase and the popularity of Maduro and the memory of Chavez decline, the Chavez voter becomes increasingly less and less enthused about voting, less political and more likely to abstain. Such voters when they switch sides are not likely to abstain in the near future until something changes. <br /><br />Over time, the identity of the likely voter to abstain can change. <br /><br />Therefore, a point in time will come when abstention hurts the Chavistas more than it will the opposition. <br /><br /><br /><br />Joe 999999https://www.blogger.com/profile/11644721665245952646noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4080946.post-75503209568464087962015-11-17T20:03:31.416+01:002015-11-17T20:03:31.416+01:00He won the referendum on the constituyente because...He won the referendum on the constituyente because it was organized by the still existing electoral authorities that were in place in 1998 and recognized his electoral victory. That 90% voted yes is another matter. At least I voted NO and I wear this as my badge of honor.Danielhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12128609182544333477noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4080946.post-88350545067683753912015-11-17T13:56:43.607+01:002015-11-17T13:56:43.607+01:00Daniel, you say "amen of the worst treachery ...Daniel, you say "amen of the worst treachery factor since 1999". Can you please elaborate? Back then I was only a kid, and all I know about those elections is that he won the constituyente with about >90% of the vote and not all folks went out and voted...kernel_panicnoreply@blogger.com