Well, it seems the regime is not satisfied with at least three deaths, dozens of injured, X arrests and a few "disappeared". It has decided to take the opportunity to start removing opposition leaders that are bothersome. Leopoldo Lopez is the first one, accused even of throwing the baby's water today.
Let's consider this a little bit. First, it is a mistake as not only it consecrates Lopez as the main opposition leader, but also it definitively will bring Venezuela under international focus. Let me remind readers that Lopez has defeated the regime in the Inter American Court for Human Rights, a ruling that Venezuela has refused to recognize, a default that can be pinpointed as the official moment of the beginning of its slide as a rogue nation. I think it is will be very difficult for Maduro and co to manage this internationally at a time when Venezuela should be playing nice to get help in solving the terrible economical/financial problems we face.
Second, that will only light further more protests, though arguably a section of the regime is looking forward it. We can already guess that Voluntad Popular activists may start going into hiding, or climb barricades. Let me put it this way: caution, no matter what hurry presides the regime, would have dictated to prepare public opinion for a couple of days before jailing Lopez. Heck, even giving him a chance to escape the country.
So, how can we conjugate the excessive repression of today, the provocation the regime made through some security personnel and storm troopers with the late night arrest order for Lopez?
It is tempting to see all of that as yet more inner fighting of chavismo. Some on tweeter go as far as saying that Cabello planned the provocation to force the army to start acting against the paratroopers that are linked to the radical left of chavismo (namely Jaua who curiously has been rather silent in the past couple of weeks). As such Lopez to jail is just a further push of the ante.
Perhaps there are some inside chavismo that want to create trouble for Maduro by creating an international excuse to criticize Maduro?
Or maybe the Cubans aware of the economic debacle looming in a matter of weeks want to establish a state of siege of sorts to prevent food riots about to start anytime. We can expect thus Machado to follow soon, or even an impeachment against Capriles to start since, after all, he decided to show up today at the rally.
At any rate there are still some that refuse to call Venezuela a dictatorship, as recently as a little bit over a week ago under the pen of Teodoro Petkoff. How long are these people keep the charade?
Whatever it is, to answer the title question I think that all of this is the mark of a regime scared, really scared. And thus very dangerous.
PS: earlier this evening Lopez, Machado and Ledezma held a press conference, not transmitted on TV of course. The three pointed out that the provocation of the regime came AFTER the rally event, when students were starting the retreat, They accuse the regime of the provocation and of having announced it already earlier. It will not simplify the task of Maduro to arrest Lopez and probably will force it to jail soon Machado and Ledezma.
Worse for the regime, it may force Capriles and the MUD to pick up the relay from a Lopez in jail. Is that what the regime truly wants?