Sunday, August 11, 2019
However we reached this week a seminal point of sorts: it is the regime this time that walked away from the negotiation table. Who gains? Who lost?
Friday, June 07, 2019
Secretary of state Mike Pompeo had a private conversation on Venezuela that was leaked (I personally wonder whether he wanted that to be leaked). In that conversation he said two important things: that the Venezuelan opposition was very hard to organize into some form or real unity and that it was because there were at least 40 folks that wanted the US to annoint them as the next president of Venezuela. (1)
Tuesday, June 04, 2019
I am speaking for all, not only the opposition post April 30 debacle, but also the regime failure to come up with a solution to its power holding problems, only insuring that everything will happen again. And let's not forget the international community either desperately clueless or desperately weak (or both).
Wednesday, May 08, 2019
Sunday, March 31, 2019
Tuesday, March 05, 2019
For whatever reason they all went along. For whatever reason it has worked out so far. He is collecting all the glory, but he is maybe a minute away from a bullet. All par for the course.
Monday, February 25, 2019
Saturday, February 23, 2019
Trying to speak about what goes on from afar is reckless.
Local information is not good, does not understand what has been going on in Venezuela, let's its own bias take over.
Following tweets does not help much. Opposition tweets are transfigured. Chavista tweets are beyond denial.
Even were I to be in Venezuela it would not have been too easy: massive shut down of any media that shows the Cucuta concert , including Nat geo (or that may discuss the massacre of natives at the hand of the Nazional Guard at the Brazilian border).
Thus I have to resort to go to bed with some comfort pill and hope for a nicer wake up tomorrow morning.
One thing is certain though: the only way out for Maduro is a blood bath. Or a yellow uniform.
Wednesday, February 13, 2019
Friday, February 08, 2019
|Chavista hell hole far in the horizon|
Tuesday, February 05, 2019
What is the legal status of Juan Guaido?
Thursday, January 31, 2019
|With Guaido, from left to right, Mejia, Pizarro and Gonzalez|
In 2007 there was a wave of protests against Chavez due to the closing of RCTV broadcast. It was strong enough that it got Chavez his first major political defeat with the referendum loss of 2007.
The title of a post on May 31 2007 was "The week the Bolivarian Revolution died". It died when Chavez lost the students of Venezuela, and thus the future. Of course, I was writing about the symbolism of that week, full aware in that text that revolutions may see their ideals die but that does not necessarily stop them from dragging on for years. I just did not expect that it would last another 11 years.
What is so intensely satisfying in that picture is that the 4 men started their career in the protest years of 2007 or whereabouts.
Today you can see them holding the main chairs of the National Assembly. They are the power rising, edging the old opposition class, and perhaps bringing down Maduro.
The history books will one day write on the "2007 generation", of these 4 but of several others jailed, exiled and more. They are our future and it is thrilling.
The reason of this rant type of entry is that suddenly out of nowhere some people are proposing that the regime and the Venezuelan opposition "dialogue" again. At this point in time offering that as the lone idea to bring peace to Venezuela is to mock's people's intelligence. And worse, it does give Maduro some time to recoup and charge again.
Tuesday, January 29, 2019
On January 6 I was writing
"...The regime will HAVE TO dissolve the NA because this one has the nuclear option. Already since 2015 the NA has warned the world that lending money to Maduro was at their own risks of never recovering it since the NA not having voted on new debt this one is not valid. Now it gets worse, since Maduro is not the recognized president, his signature will have no validity for any act. ANY."The time has come. But note that it is not the National Assembly that has pushed it, since it does not have ways to enforce it. It is the USA that has pushed it today.
Saturday, January 26, 2019
So as a new public service I am going explain a few electoral details to understand the whys of the ultimatum details.
How does operate the European Union foreign policy
Friday, January 25, 2019
Let's take it in an occamish manner and answer a few questions (keeping in mind idiocies spewed from the left, the leftist press as the worst offender to one's intelligence!)).
Who is Juan Guaido?
Thursday, January 24, 2019
- The election of Maduro in May 2018 has no legality or legitimacy. The election was convened outside the legal system (election in May to be sworn in in January, convened by an illegal constituent assembly, extremely unfavorable conditions for any candidate against Maduro, etc.)
Wednesday, January 23, 2019
|Our next president?|
Yet, since I plan to attend tomorrow's opposition rallies I shall write a short summary of the past 2 weeks to help people cut through the contradictory news; and sometimes misleading news from well intentionned journalists who are, I am afraid, coming a tad late to the party. Last night for example the French TV called Guaidó "extreme right" which goes on to tell you to watch out for what you read. This blog is, of course, perfect.
Sunday, January 13, 2019
What happened was that Maduro did swear in at the high court (TSJ). As if his word had more value than Venezuelan currency.
And in the next two days the opposition at the National Assembly started the process to declare itself as the new government since Maduro election is not recognized and he did not swear in as the constitution demands. So he does not exist and any paper with his signature as of January 10 is worthless.
Thursday, January 10, 2019
Toda la avenida Bolívar de Caracas forrada con pendones de “Yo Soy Presidente”, dándose poder de algo que no es.— Luis Gonzalo Pérez (@luisgonzaloprz) 9 de enero de 2019
Al menos, yo no lo reconozco ni reconoceré #9Ene #YoSoyPresidente pic.twitter.com/P2DXL1nme7
The banner reads "I am president" with an hashtag, you know, to make it more contemporary.
Monday, January 07, 2019
First, a brief recall.
1) An illegally elected Maduro on May 20 needs to be sworn in by the National Assembly.
2) the NA powers have been voided by the high court TSJ in an illegal way. No law passed by the NA is valid. Yet the swearing in itself is not a law and thus there is no way to annul the NA on that prerogative. 3) Maduro will not go to the AN for swearing in because not only he cannot do so legally but he cannot appear to be caving in to the NA legitimate demands. You could talk about the Mexico wall deadlock, but you ain't seen no nothing compared to the deadlock here since 2015.
4) The NA cannot compromise with Maduro because his election was outside of the constitutional requirements, both in date and organization. If a fraction of the opposition would break away to make a new majority pact with chavismo representatives (absent since late 2015) it still would be illegal and that portion of the opposition would have no chance ever to get votes in future elections.