Saturday, October 16, 2004

The Electoral Fraud in Venezuela seems finally unmasked

Tulio Alvarez submits his final report (for now)

I am watching Tulio Alvarez discuss the report he submitted earlier on today. This is in Globovision "Alo Ciudadano". I need to read it more and understand some stuff better. But right now I can say one thing with full confidence: in a normal country either the government falls or it must arrest Tulio Alvarez and his team. What will happen? Probably none of the above as usual. More later, but I will leave you with an appetizer.

The machines used to track the thumb prints and make sure none voted twice actually did not serve at all for that purpose. In fact thanks to these machines they knew at every minute who was voting and where. How? Well, chavismo had the list of all the people that signed at any of the different petitions submitted against Chavez, roughly between 25 and 35% of the electorate depending on the area. They also disposed the name of all the people that had benefited from any one of the "misiones" or other pro Chavez organizations and presumably voting for Chavez. Again between 25 to 35% depending on the areas. Thus they could track how was the mobilization of each side taking place.

In other words they could calculate in real time the following:

-how were pro Chavez voters mobilizing
-how were opposition electors mobilizing
-how to predict the result in each area
-and of course, how to send the adequate signal to the adequate machine to modify the final result

All of this with rather few people. Tulio Alvarez showed the names of a couple of dozen of foreigners, mostly Mexicans, that were working in the "secret" computation centers. It seems that NO Venezuelan civilian were involved, only Venezuelan military.

I am happy to have at least one of my predictions confirmed: a well organized electoral fraud does not need many people, just enough time for a good preparation. And plenty of time they got since early 2003 when Carter muddled along to give Chavez a respite from the general strike.

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