Assange y la idiotez hipócrita del chavismo

Cortesía The Economist

No quiero perder mucho tiempo sobre Assange.  Es un enfermizo por la fama, que mas o menos sabe manipular con la ayuda de los medios de comunicación. Aquí en Venezuela tenemos uno así en Miraflores.  Sus Wikileaks fueron un fracaso en eso de que revelaron que, ¡dios mio!, la diplomacia norteamericana (o imperial como es conocida dentro del chavismo) se comportaba mucho mejor de lo que la gente creía.  Que yo sepa nadie fue a parar a cárcel alguna por las revelaciones. Esas incriminan mucho mas a personajes pintorescos y defectuosos como la señora K, para nombrar a una del continente, que los diplomáticos imperiales. Han caído gobiernos por Wikileaks, pero el de EE.UU. sigue allí.

Cúpira: Chavez ultimate symbol of utter failure

It is fitting that during the heat of his reelection campaign the Cúpira bridge collapsed, illustrating in that simple event all the multiple failures of the Chavez regime in creating a functional country.

I am not going to go into the details and the specifics of the trauma: suffice to say that one of the 10 most important bridges of Venezuela fell because of neglect, lack of prevision, etc, etc...  There is a saying that the human is the Homo genus is the only animal that stumbles twice on the same stone.  Well, the chavista beast has mastered the art of repeatedly stumbling over the same stone. No wonder in Venezuela we use the term chabestia more and more.

Chavismo has been so wrong, so misguided in so many issues that keeping count is now impossible.  Let's just resume some of the dramatic items that the Cúpira bridge summarizes.

Venezuela's electoral numbers 2012: 2- the three key states

The contours of the October vote are getting clearer as we advance in the campaign.  Still, as it is always the case in any election, there is what one calls "battleground" or "key states" which are the ones to watch.  I think that this time around the ones to watch are Anzoategui, Bolivar and Lara.  Let's start with Anzoategui and Bolivar, in the Eastern part of the country, where I think that not only the election will be decided but also the margin of victory (1). I am not considering Miranda or Zulia which are a given for Capriles.  If he loses there, there is no point about worrying how he does elsewhere.  Also Aragua should remain Chavez while Carabobo will go opposition, each one with comparable margins thus cancelling each other.  Hence my choices below.

All the graphs are designed from the same CNE, electoral board, data: presidential result of 2006, governor result of 2008 and legislative result of 2010, as the most motivating elections so as to have the lowest abstention number (which as you will see varies widely).  When the opposition goes divided I add it all up (Lara and Bolivar 2008, Lara 2010).

Venezuela's electoral numbers 2012: 1- Caucagüita or why Capriles should win

If we look at the evolution of voting pattern in Caucagüita, Capriles should win in October.

One of the unheralded bellwether districts of Venezuela is a Caracas semi slum area, Caucagüita, East of the Sucre district of Petare.  I have already written about it and for this entry removed the 2004 local election number so as to make it more about Chavez, in case you compare with previous graphs.  After all, in October 2004, fresh after the recall election, the local vote was an anticlimax, not only the opposition staying home but also a lot of chavistas.

"Big Brother" vive en el SENIAT

Anoche tuve una experiencia espeluznante.

¿Cambiamos fecha a 2012?

Fui a cenar con un amigo y pagué con mi tarjeta de débito.  Nunca había estado en ese restaurante. Como ya nos acostumbramos di mi numero de cédula para poder pagar. ¡Cual es la sorpresa mía cuando el cajero me verifica mi nombre!  O sea, que a pesar de nunca haber estado en este restaurante, de no haber entregado mi cédula, solo el número, el cajero sabia mi nombre...

Al instante me dije "debe ser una franquicia, algun sistema vinculado con otro restaurante al cual fui alguna vez".  Pregunté. La respuesta me heló: la computadora de la caja estaba directamente vinculada con el SENIAT y era el SENIAT que le dio la información de mi nombre al cajero.

En otras palabras, el SENIAT está ya en capacidad de saber que consumo, donde consumo, a que hora consumo, que cantidad consumo.  Si todavía no entienden la implicación, en un futuro muy cercano, a medida que las cajas de restaurantes y tiendas se conecten a Internet, el SENIAT sabrá en tiempo real que coño es lo que hacemos con nuestro dinero.

Mythomania in Chavez bird brain

Chavez was doing yet another cadena. Surfing the waves I stumbled on him as he was "replying" to Capriles who promised that Venezuela would stop giving oil for free anymore. Instead of shutting up Chavez had to open his big mouth and look guilty, whether he did not intend it. If that was not bad enough he went to his old tired argument that when he reached office oil was at 10 a barrel and that he managed to rise it ten times.

Of course it is all baloney. You and I know that oil price increase is BRICS growth, speculation, less strikes, more expensive fields, etc...  Maybe Chavez knows/knew that too. What scared me tonight was that his body language, his voice, indicated to me that Chavez believes now that if it were not for him oil would still be a 10 usd a barrel.

Memo to Hugo: 1) stop replying to Capriles: you have no idea how to reply in an argument, and 2) consider changing your medication.

Chavez keeps piling up mistakes: idiotically he calls Capriles Nazi

Chavez' s verbal incontinence and lack of cultural education is playing tricks on him now that he feels electorally cornered.  In his desperation to bring Capriles down the gutter (Chavez can only "argue" in the gutter) he claimed that Capriles was a skinhead with all the implications and connections. And he has proof of it.

In the past Chavez could get away with such unfounded outrages which many apologists charged on his folksy ways. But this time around it is yet another major campaign blunder.  In the heat of the campaign his followers are going to demand that Chavez publishes the evidence, an evidence which could doom Capriles. This is not a circus occurrence at Alo Presidente, this is a real campaign where Chavez supporters for the first time feel contrary winds.

Not only Chavez cannot deliver (if the evidence existed it would have been published years ago by Capriles rivals within the opposition) but Capriles dignified reply is going to double Chavez political cost.  He simply said that as a descendant of Holocaust victims he did not play with such words, that Chavez had no idea what nazism and fascism were, and may he please respect his family because Capriles himself is not attacking Chavez family.  Which has of course the added bonus to remind folks that the Chavez family would be a fair target if he wanted to do so, due to the ample evidence of sudden rags to riches, corruption and assorted power abuses.....

Is Hugo becoming the main strategist of Capriles campaign?