The point is that any political observer with a grain of savvy would know that any poll that gives the opposition less than 30% today is deeply flawed. Why?
The latest life size poll we have had is the Recall Election of 2004. Then with already hundreds of thousands suddenly registered voters, amid charges of fraud that have still to be resolved, the opposition did get 40% of the votes (at least according to questionable official numbers). These were arguably the most polarized election Venezuela ever experienced. People then voted for or against Chavez and the 40% who voted against him truly, deeply disliked him.
My question is: what has Chavez done since August 2004 to win over to his side a portion of these 40% electors?
- Was it the discriminatory Tascon list?
- Was it that to benefit from the Misiones you had to wear a red shirt?
- Was it because if you were in the government you could get one of the few built subsidized housing?
- Or because if you were associated with chavista business you could make enough money to buy a fancy new car?
- Is it because of the extraordinarily inefficient 20 all but directly appointed chavista governors we got in 2004?
- Is it because the trust in government increased since it is all so open, all so clear, all so audited?
- Or is it because we are all so delighted to have Chavez give our money away to countries that need it less than we do?
- It is because justice is swift an impartial as amply demonstrated in the cases of Alvaray, Anderson, Fort Mara or now La Paragua?
- Or could it be the unbearable crime rate of Venezuela streets which makes whatever happens in Palestine or Iraq almost look like a child’s game?
- Is it because your confidence in a brighter future comes to you from seeing a public employee shop at an El Cafetal supermarket with two body guards (two cars waiting for her outside with yet more body guards) and pay CASH 1.5 million bolivares the grocery bill (as seen by my mother a few days ago)?
NOTE: as an addendum activity for this pleasant Sunday after days of rain, you could do worse than watch the video dug out by Miguel, with a nice soundtrack about love while you can observe all sorts of Chavez associated violence pictures since 1992. Not to be missed. Or you can go directly to Youtube here.