Wednesday, November 13, 2013

From rabipelao courts to public lynching: a day of contradictions in the regime

A regime on overdrive to survive has no qualms exploring interesting ways to reach results and contradict itself as it goes, as often as needed.  If you needed evidence that Maduro is grasping for straws, you get them in the last couple of days.

Let's start with the title.  This morning I was writing that Maduro was proposing/ordering kangaroo courts to send the owners of stores he does not like faster to jail.  But tonight I have to write that he wants now "el pueblo" to take the initiative and seize looters.   There are many problems with this. First Maduro recognizes that the looting problem is big enough to deserve a stronger response when 24 hours ago it was mere isolated incidents.  Second, if rabipelao courts are good enough for Daka's owners why not send looters to the same courts? The answer to these contradictions is that Capriles went on record saying what we already all knew from pictures in twitter: the looters are directed by PSUV operatives. And I add since there is no way to prove it at this point, that this is the way chosen by the regime to pay these operatives in view of the dirty work required from them until mid December.

All flash points of looting, anarchy chaos are directed by the PSUV and then they will blame it on us. Be alert!

Another fascinating contradiction is that after having started the worst wave of looting in Venezuela since 1989, and by far, Maduro today asked people to come and invest in the country.  In a day, by the way, where Venezuelans bond dropped as the international trust in the country is about junk bond status.  Can we assume that Maduro is stupid enough to contradict himself so blatantly so fast?  Well, maybe, but there must be something else too.

As he was saying that, today we also learned that car battery manufacturers were intervened, that stores such as shoe stores were threatened, that looting started to reach small store owners, of the neighborhood quality. What gives? Possibly he wants to convey overseas that the only ones to worry are the Venezuelan businesses who are unreliable and should be replaced by foreign ones.  But even this generous hypothesis from my part rings hollow because Maduro had the chutzpah to ask Venezuelan business people to bring back home the dollars they have stashed overseas, on the week where he mad private business lose millions of dollars that cannot be recovered ever. No, what Maduro was truly announcing was his economic vision, believe it or not: no more private business in Venezuela besides the big ones in association with the regime. I will note that someone commented to me today that the regime is going to have to nationalize now Daka and related because the owners are not going to refurbish the stores or the inventory; that this was a logical step because after having ruined agriculture and manufacturing the last stand of private business was commerce and banking. And banking he does not need to move against because the regime is the main driver of cash through the system and thus banks will not rise against the regime.

And yet there is another major contradiction but of a more subtle nature to understand. Today finally the Nazional Assembly managed to get rid of one of the opposition representatives which through the viciousness of Venezuelan politics will be replaced by a safe pro Maduro vote (though rumor has that he has been extorted though his properties in Monagas to make sure his future votes are the ones wished for; such as the two other opposition votes brought to chavismo though due extortion).  This beyond undemocratic maneuver is to get Maduro the wished for enabling law to deal with corruption and economics.  But does he need it? And this is where the contradiction lays because this week with the looting and the announcement of the kangaroo courts, and that he will limit what a business can make in earnings, Maduro is doing already what he would do with the enabling law. Clearly he does not need it. Or does he?

Let's read two of Leopoldo Lopez tweets today:

The internal conflict inside the regime is not only political. There is a confrontation between mafias fo power and drug traffickers with high public servant badges.

Who are those that who benefited greatly from CADIVI [currency control]? Publish the list Maduro. Who are the directors of these businesses? To whom where they linked inside the regime?

Leopoldo says on twitter what no air-wave media will allow him to say because such is the extent of censorship that the regime has gone out to ask that the word "looting" is not pronounced. And with that he puts his finger on the true pressing concerns of Maduro, concerns that he can only solve with an enabling law that gives him powers to deal with his internal enemies, not the democratic opposition that he is already screwing fine without any extra law, thank you!

To get rid of any opposition muscle it is enough to apply Marxist theories of end to private property. Now the private sector has been so weakened that a reaction like 2002 is not only impossible but the victims of governmental abuse remain silent, will not even publish a bland press communique least the regime damages more than their properties: their families and their lives.  But to get rid of tribal factions inside chavismo.........

These contradictions and actions of some of the regime spokespeople (Cabello is strangely subdued in an occasion where he should be giving a declaration a minute) mean something else: Maduro has allied with the radical wing of chavismo and he is trying to make a legalistic coup against the other factions of chavimso. The coup is not against democracy and the opposition, that one was done in 2010. The coup in progress is one against a chavista group which will imply by force that Venezuela will become a Marxist country where oil revenue makes life somewhat mess miserable than in other Marxist countries like Cuba or North Korea.

Then again the coup may be coming from Maduro's own entourage who is pushing him to make such idiotic decisions so as to get rid of him sooner than later.


  1. Island Canuck7:04 AM

    As I've predicted for the last couple of years the purchases of $$ through the black market has come back to haunt honest business owners. They had to buy these $$ to stay afloat but now the government has them under a hammer.

    If anyone out there still doesn't understand the economics of staying in business in an economy where you can't get hard currency then please read this clear, concise explanation by VENEPIRÁMIDES. It's in Spanish but use Google translate if necessary.

    Compre, porque la mercancía no volverá (ni a este precio ni a ninguno)
    Buy, because the stock will not return(not at this price nor at any price)

    1. Anonymous3:46 PM

      Which is probably the worst thing that he could do. There is no benefit for them to do this, as the repercussions of doing so will only trickle into higher prices.

      Anon Dave

  2. Ronaldo11:42 AM

    Maduro is given too much credit as a political strategist. He is a thug and a thief. Nothing more. His power is from threatening and harming others; it is not from great ideas, great leadership, or a desire to help the poor.

    Cubans are the Maduro's controllers. Cubans have taken $billions from Venezuela and now they want complete control of Venezuela through Maduro.

    1. I agree Ronaldo. The power sociopaths have lies more in unashamed aggression and continuous attack, rather than any strategic genius. firepigette

  3. Boludo Tejano12:13 PM

    Possibly he wants to convey overseas that the only ones to worry are the Venezuelan businesses who are unreliable and should be replaced by foreign ones.

    Which shows further evidence of El Presidente's grasping at straws, as any potential foreign investor with a modicum of intelligence would be aware of Superior Energy Equipment Seized by PDVSA in Venezuela .

  4. I tend to agree with your theory that the law is to be able to move against the enemies within. So, I am curious to see what will masburro will do once he get the law. As you say, he can do what he wants with the oppo right now, no need for additional powers against them.

    Regarding his "invitation" to invest in the country I can imagine is either lip service to try to give a sense normalcy or invitation to the shady world investors, since the civilized world is not even "tuned" to masburro.

  5. Assad´s version of capitalism was, until the war that is: small businesses are allowed, but if any business grows beyond a certain size, it is immediately expropriated or bought up by an agent closely connected to the regime.

  6. I'm sorry but if you sweep this weekend's events under the rug and adopt the "this will not affect me" atittude well you are a complete fool. Overall there is much reason to be concerned. The government is a wounded beast swinging its feasts at anything it encounters on the way and wreaking havoc in the country. It is in complete denial and still fervently believes radicalization is the way out of the economic mess it got itself into.

    Add to this fourteen years of telling folks that it's correct to steal from the rich -who are to blame for all hardships- and what you have is a large sector of the population heeding calls to ransack and vandalize.

    First time this happens and the call was quite to the streets was successful. Maduro knows this and he could use this card again to boost his popularity. Next time, it could be against your home.

    1. Anonymous9:35 PM

      What is the solution? Other than grab what you still have and leave the country?

  7. I hope some day soon, real soon, the people realize that all this hatred is an attempt to pull down the upper and middle class to a level somewhat above poverty, somewhat. And as for the poorer or below poverty classes they will simply be raised up an inch, if that, with no hope of ever joining the middle class or the possibility of a better life as one advances. The hope, dreams, and luck will be gone. This is what Cuba and North Korea live with. To take away hope and dreams from ordinary Venezuelans??? Are they willing to let this happen? I bet they don't. Dios Los Bendiga.

  8. Anonymous8:37 PM

    Are the demonstration for Saturday for sure?

  9. Anonymous11:27 AM

    Murder as i call him is laughted at by most of the rest of the world except by Cuba , China , Russia . See what a former bus driver can do when he is above his pay scale or mind scale . Ruin the country . Turn into a bandit . Act like Castro .

  10. Anonymous11:43 AM

    When the stuff the people stole breaks, where will they get it fixed? They can't take it back to the store where they bought it. When will the thieves target their houses to steal it from them? Will there be a wave of home invasions and more murder? Then the euphoria will fade and cold reality will set in about the sick mess their country is in because of 14 years of rule by destructive idiots who are destroying their economy in Castro style and only care about pushing their stupid ideology.


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